Investor Materials · April 2026 · Confidential
Three documents. One thesis. The full-lifecycle leasing platform across four asset classes — real estate, land, equipment, and businesses — built for the AI infrastructure boom and the silver tsunami transferring trillions in assets across the next decade.
Document 01 / Boom Belt Deck
Twenty-one slides. Two macro forces. Four asset classes. One platform. Click any slide to view full size; arrow keys navigate.
Document 02 / Data Sources & Claim Verification
Investor Prospectus Supplement. Forward-looking projections are management estimates; the underlying data is sourced from ELFA, CoStar, IMARC, Bloomberg, NASA, the NRC, SIFMA, and other recognized institutions.
The deck claims a $1 trillion+ TAM across four asset classes. Combined annual leasing volume across equipment ($1.02T), commercial real estate ($742B), vehicles ($174B), and business transfers exceeds $1 trillion. TBL targets transaction fees on this volume — not the asset value itself.
| Claim | Data Point | Source |
|---|---|---|
| US Equipment Leasing (Annual) | $1.02 trillion | Equipment Leasing & Finance Association (ELFA) |
| ELFA 2025 Activity | $119.8B new activity (2nd all-time high); 3.1% NBV growth | ELFA CFI Report, Dec 2025 |
| US Commercial Real Estate | $742.3B | IMARC Group / CoStar / CBRE |
| US Vehicle Leasing | $174.1B (2025); projected $242.4B (2026) | Fortune Business Insights |
| Texas Commercial Activity | $203.4B annual; Houston $3B sales; Dallas 14.8 msf leased | Texas Real Estate Research Center (TRERC) |
| Texas Share of US Market | ~8% national lease volume; $80B+ annually | ELFA + TRERC (derived) |
| Claim | Data Point | Source |
|---|---|---|
| CoStar Group Market Cap | $16.6–21.3B (Feb 2026) | Yahoo Finance / Companies Market Cap |
| CoStar Annual Revenue | $3.25B (2025 TTM) | CoStar Q4 2025 Results |
| CoStar Time to Build | 30+ years to reach current scale | CoStar Group SEC Filings |
| Broker Commission Rates | 4–12% of total deal value | CBRE / JLL / Marcus & Millichap schedules |
| Lease Accounting Software | $5K/yr × 3 = $15K per client | LeaseQuery / Visual Lease / Occupier pricing |
| CPA Lease Review Costs | $2K/yr × 3 = $6K per client | Industry standard rates |
| Claim | Data Point | Source |
|---|---|---|
| AI Infrastructure Spend (2026) | $650–700B (Google $185B, MSFT $145B, AMZN $200B, Meta $115–135B) | Industry Reports / Carbon Credits |
| Data Center Construction | $53.7B YTD through Nov 2025; 98% CAGR 2021–25 | ConstructConnect |
| Data Center Energy Demand | 500+ TWh globally (2% of consumption); 30% annual growth | International Energy Agency (IEA) |
| US Data Center Power | 80 GW (2025) → 150 GW (2028); nearly doubling | Bloom Energy Report |
| Claim | Data Point | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Baby Boomers Retiring | ~10,000 per day reaching retirement age | Multiple sources / Vernick Financial |
| Great Wealth Transfer | $84–124 trillion transferring through 2045–2048 | Cerulli Associates |
| Business Succession Gap | Majority of small businesses lack formal succession plans | National Association of Certified Valuators & Analysts |
The 11-state Boom Belt drives American economic growth: $9T annual GDP and absorbing 70% of US population growth.
| Claim | Data Point | Source |
|---|---|---|
| No-Income-Tax States | 9 states (TX, FL, TN in Boom Belt) | Tax Foundation |
| Texas Population Growth | 1.34% annually; +2.56M residents 2020–2025 | World Population Review |
| Florida Population Growth | 1.24% annually; sustained domestic migration | World Population Review |
| Georgia Population Growth | 0.94% annually; +1.33M residents 2010–23 (13.74%) | World Population Review |
| Tennessee Growth | +207K residents 2020–2023; 4th in U-Haul Growth Index 2025 | World Population Review / U-Haul |
| Boom Belt GDP | 11 states: $9T GDP; absorbing 70% of US population growth | Fox Business / Economic Analysis |
The deck claims a $7,200 total platform fee over 3 years versus $45,800–$47,800 for a broker and $192K–$332K for an in-house team. Based on a $10,000/month NNN commercial lease with a 36-month term ($360,000 total value). TBL charges 2% of each monthly payment: $200/month × 36 = $7,200. All accounting (ASC 842), tax reporting, payment processing, market pricing, and renewal intelligence included at no additional cost.
| Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| TPL EBITDA (2025) | $687.4M adjusted | TPL Q4 2025 Press Release |
| TPL Surface Acreage | ~882,000 acres (Permian Basin) | Texas Pacific Land Corporation |
| TPL Business Model | Royalties, easements, water sales, surface leases | TPL SEC 10-K |
| TPL Margins | 60%+ operating margins on royalty & easement income | TPL Financial Statements |
The TPL comparison illustrates how a land-based lease and royalty model generates exceptional margins with minimal operating cost. TBL replicates this model digitally across terrestrial leasing — and physically on lunar surface acreage as the Artemis program matures.
| Claim | Data Point | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Artemis II Mission | Splashdown April 10, 2026; 10-day crewed lunar fly-by | NASA |
| Artemis II Launch | Launched April 1, 2026 from Kennedy Space Center | NASA |
| Interlune Helium-3 Agreement | DOE purchased 3L of He-3; delivery by April 2029 | Interlune / DOE Isotope Program |
| Outer Space Treaty (1967) | Prohibits national sovereignty; silent on resource extraction | UN Office for Outer Space Affairs |
| US Space Resource Rights | 2015 Act: US citizens may own extracted space resources | Congress.gov |
| Claim | Data Point | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Natura MSR-1 Reactor | First NRC-approved liquid-fueled advanced reactor; 1-MW; deployed 2026 | NRC / Natura Resources / NEXTRA Alliance |
| JJ Pickle Research Center | 1.1 MW steady-state TRIGA Mark II; 475-acre Austin campus | UT-Austin / NRC |
| US Research Reactors | 31 operating research reactors in the US | Nuclear Regulatory Commission |
| Claim | Data Point | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Issuance Volume | $580B record; tax-exempt $522.6B (+16% vs 2024) | The Bond Buyer |
| Outstanding Muni Debt | $4+ trillion | SIFMA / Federal Reserve |
| Market Fragmentation | ~50,000 state and local issuers; highly manual processes | MSRB / Industry analysis |
Estable Corporation targets automation of muni bond issuance, compliance, and lifecycle management. The $4T+ market remains highly fragmented with thousands of issuers relying on manual, paper-based processes.
Document 03 / Detailed Financial Projections
Year-by-year projections, expense breakdowns, revenue modeling, customer service scaling, and adoption economics. The 80/20 Model: capture 80% of the $1.76T Boom Belt market over 10 years.
The Big Lease (TBL) is the first full-lifecycle leasing platform for four asset classes: real estate, land, equipment, and businesses. Two unprecedented macro forces — the AI infrastructure boom and the silver tsunami — converge to create a $5T+/yr addressable market across the Boom Belt.
TBL replaces the fragmented broker-driven model with an AI-native platform that handles discovery, negotiation, payments, accounting, and lifecycle management in one system. 2% of transaction value plus 2% monthly processing, plus automation/integration services, plus ASC 842/IFRS 16 compliance — replacing $5K–$50K/yr in accounting software for every customer.
| Revenue Stream | Timing | Example | Revenue Mix |
|---|---|---|---|
| Transaction Fee (2%) | One-time at lease execution | $100K lease = $2,000 | 50–60% of Year 1 |
| Monthly Processing (2%) | Recurring for lease duration | $10K/mo lease = $200/mo | 60–70% by Year 3 |
| Automation & Integration | Per-supplier onboarding + ongoing | $500–$5,000 per integration | 15–20% |
| Accounting Subscriptions | Annual ASC 842/IFRS 16 compliance | $1,200–$3,600/yr per customer | 10–15% at scale |
Example deal: $10,000/month NNN commercial lease, 36-month term, $360,000 total value.
| Cost Item | Broker Model | TBL Platform | In-House Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broker commission (5% avg) | $18,000 | $0 | $0 |
| In-house lease team (1–2 FTE) | $0 | $0 | $55K–$85K/yr ea. |
| Lease accounting software (3 yrs) | $15,000 | $0 — included | $15,000 |
| CPA lease review (3 yrs) | $6,000 | $0 — included | $6,000 |
| Manual payment processing | $1,800 | $0 — included | $1,800 |
| Market comp research | $1,000–$2,000 | $0 — included | $1,000–$2,000 |
| Renewal negotiation (yr 3) | $3,000–$5,000 | $0 — included | Internal staff time |
| Management overhead & training | $0 | $0 | $10K–$20K/yr |
| TBL platform fee (2%) | — | $7,200 | — |
| Total 3-Year Cost | $45,800–$47,800 | $7,200 | $199K–$332K |
Texas represents $80B+ in annual lease volume across all four asset classes — approximately 8% of the US market. Phase 1 targets 10,000 leases by Year 3, representing $1B+ in transaction volume and 1.2% market share in Texas alone.
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active Leases (cumulative) | 200 | 2,000 | 10,000 |
| Avg. Lease Value (monthly) | $8,000 | $9,000 | $10,000 |
| Transaction Fee Revenue | $320K | $2.88M | $16.0M |
| Monthly Processing Revenue | $192K | $2.16M | $12.0M |
| Automation & Integration | $100K | $600K | $3.0M |
| Accounting Subscriptions | $48K | $480K | $2.4M |
| Total Revenue | $660K | $6.12M | $33.4M |
| Category | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| People & Payroll | $468K–$534K | $680K–$780K | $852K–$1.02M |
| IT & Infrastructure | $34K–$52K | $53K–$71K | $83K–$107K |
| Operations & Growth | $137K–$267K | $224K–$398K | $416K–$734K |
| Total Expenses | $639K–$853K | $957K–$1.25M | $1.35M–$1.86M |
| Revenue | $660K | $6.12M | $33.4M |
| Net Income / (Loss) | ($193K)–$21K | $4.87M–$5.16M | $31.5M–$32.1M |
With Texas proven, Phase 2 expands across the full Boom Belt and into all 50 states. The platform is battle-tested, the AI pricing engine has thousands of comps, and the playbook is repeatable.
| Metric | Year 4 | Year 5 |
|---|---|---|
| Active Leases (cumulative) | 25,000 | 50,000 |
| Avg. Lease Value (monthly) | $12,000 | $15,000 |
| Transaction Fee Revenue | $36M | $75M |
| Monthly Processing Revenue | $36M | $90M |
| Automation & Integration | $10M | $20M |
| Accounting Subscriptions | $6M | $12M |
| Total Revenue | $88M | $197M |
| Total Expenses | $4.05M–$7.05M | $6.25M–$10.55M |
| Net Income | $81M–$84M | $186M–$191M |
Phase 3 takes TBL global, adding international markets, all four asset classes at full depth, and enterprise partnerships. The AI pricing engine now has tens of thousands of comps — a data moat no competitor can replicate.
| Metric | Year 6 | Year 7 |
|---|---|---|
| Active Leases (cumulative) | 100,000 | 200,000+ |
| Avg. Lease Value (monthly) | $18,000 | $20,000+ |
| Transaction Fee Revenue | $180M | $400M+ |
| Monthly Processing Revenue | $216M | $480M+ |
| Automation & Integration | $40M | $80M+ |
| Accounting Subscriptions | $24M | $48M+ |
| Total Revenue | $460M | $1.0B+ |
| Total Expenses | $27.5M–$57M | $49.5M–$101M |
| Net Income | $403M–$433M | $899M–$951M |
| Round | Amount | Timeline | Dilution | Use of Funds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seed | $1M–$2M | Year 1 | 10–20% | Engineering, MVP, subsidized TX launch |
| Series A | $15M–$25M | Year 2–3 | 15–20% | National expansion, loss-leading pricing, 35 team |
| Series B | $100M–$200M | Year 3–4 | 10–15% | Aggressive scale, lock in enterprises, 80+ team |
| Series C | $500M–$1B | Year 5–6 | 8–12% | Market dominance push, 300 team, global |
| Series D / IPO | $1B–$2B | Year 7–8 | IPO | Full scale, 1,500 team, $24B revenue target |
| Cumulative | $1.6B–$3.2B | 8 years | 80% market capture. Operating losses funded through Year 3. | |
The 80/20 Model is TBL's aggressive strategy to capture 80% of the $1.76 trillion addressable leasing market within 10 years. Operating at a loss in the early years is not a failure — it is the strategy. By subsidizing onboarding, offering below-market pricing, and investing aggressively in platform infrastructure, TBL locks in market share before competitors can respond. This is the Amazon playbook applied to leasing infrastructure.
| Year | Capture | Volume | Fee | Revenue | Headcount | Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | $1.8B | 0.5% | $9M | 8 | Free/subsidized TX onboarding. Build moat. |
| 2 | 0.5% | $8.8B | 0.75% | $66M | 15 | Aggressive loss-leading pricing. |
| 3 | 2% | $35B | 1.0% | $350M | 35 | National scale. Lock in enterprises. |
| 4 | 5% | $88B | 1.25% | $1.1B | 80 | Reinvest revenue. Data moat compounds. |
| 5 | 10% | $176B | 1.5% | $2.6B | 150 | Dominant platform. Rates normalizing. |
| 6 | 20% | $352B | 1.75% | $6.2B | 300 | Network effects lock out competitors. |
| 7 | 35% | $616B | 1.85% | $11.4B | 500 | Global expansion. Full fee structure. |
| 8 | 50% | $880B | 1.9% | $16.7B | 800 | Operating profit accelerates. |
| 9 | 65% | $1.14T | 1.95% | $22.3B | 1,200 | Infrastructure monopoly forming. |
| 10 | 80% | $1.41T | 2.0% | $24B | 1,500 | Market dominance. $24B revenue. |
Estable Corporation is a Delaware C-Corp and the parent holding company that owns and operates both The Big Lease, Inc. and Super Hot Fire, LLC. Max Dickey serves as CEO. Headquarters establishes in Palm Beach/Miami by 2028.
| Entity | Role | Focus |
|---|---|---|
| Estable Corporation | Parent (DE C-Corp) | Palm Beach/Miami HQ 2028. Energy transaction infrastructure, muni bond automation, embedded financing, wealth transfer services. |
| The Big Lease, Inc. | Operating Subsidiary (DE C-Corp) | Full-lifecycle leasing across 4 asset classes — terrestrial and lunar. Austin/Dallas. |
| Super Hot Fire, LLC | Operating Subsidiary (LLC) | Gas/flare repurposing — capturing stranded energy and converting waste to productive output. |
| Note Logistics, LLC | Operating Subsidiary (LLC) | Workforce development — mental frameworks and IT incentivizing growth in an automated economy. |
| MaxxNotes | Separate Entity | Workforce content & education. Mental frameworks, IT training, growth-oriented curricula. |
Texas Pacific Land Corporation owns 882,000 surface acres and 224,000 net royalty acres in the Permian Basin. TPL doesn't drill — it collects royalties on every barrel extracted, charges easements for every pipeline, and sells water services. In 2025, TPL generated $687M in adjusted EBITDA with an asset-light model exceeding 60% net margins. TBL replicates this on the lunar surface — managing the leases for mining concessions, habitat zones, and transit corridors as Artemis matures.
| Dimension | TPL (Permian) | TBL (Lunar) |
|---|---|---|
| Asset base | 882,000 acres | Lunar surface-use agreements |
| Royalties | Oil & gas production | Helium-3 extraction, lunar resource output |
| Easements | Pipeline, power, road | Transit corridors, comms, power transmission |
| Surface leases | Solar, wind, data centers | Habitat modules, research stations, launch zones |
| Model | Asset-light land royalty | Asset-light lease management |
| 2025 EBITDA | $687M (actual) | Phase 3+ target |